Trading Days Without a 2% Drop for the S&P 500 The ongoing streak without a 2% decline in the S&P 500 is remarkable, but it has occurred before. Past market cycles have recorded even longer durations without such declines, underscoring the cyclical nature of market performance. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 and the Percentage of S&P 500 Stocks Above 50-Day Moving Averages The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages is a warning sign, which could potentially have negative implications for the overall market performance. Image: BofA Global Research
Average S&P 500 Returns by Election Cycle Year The dynamics and uncertainties of the electoral process often impact market performance in presidential election years, leading to a historical trend of weaker S&P 500 returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – MSCI U.S. Forward 12-Month Price/Earnings Ratio vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Real Yield While rising real yields have historically been associated with a decrease in stock market performance, the U.S. equity market has showcased its resilience by delivering impressive returns this year. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 % of Members Above 200-Day Moving Average A limited number of U.S. stocks driving market performance due to a lack of broad market participation can be problematic, potentially resulting in a less sustainable and robust market environment. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 Returns from Election of New President in November to 100 Days After the Inauguration President Joe Biden’s 100-day stock market performance is the strongest in at least 75 years. Image: J.P. Morgan
S&P 500 Total Return, Adjusted for Inflation, in Three Years After Initial Election The stock market performance, adjusted for inflation, in first three years since Trump’s election is quite good. Image: Bloomberg
What Do You Think Is Currently the Most Crowded Trade? For FMS investors, the “Long Magnificent Seven” trade continues to be the most crowded, largely attributed to the impressive performance and market leadership of these tech stocks. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
America’s Magnificent Seven Stocks While July 2024 marked a peak for the Magnificent Seven’s outperformance, ongoing scrutiny regarding their valuations and market concentration suggests that future outperformance may be challenged. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Returns – U.S. Equities vs. Commodities While commodities can serve as a hedge in certain market conditions, U.S. equities are likely to continue outperforming them over the long term due to their lower volatility, more stable returns, and historical performance trends. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy