Cumulative Global Equity Fund Flows Across Regions In 2024, U.S. equities have seen notable inflows, indicating a resurgence of investor confidence despite ongoing concerns about valuations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Inflation – U.S. Core PCE and Core CPI Goldman Sachs’ forecast of a continuous decline in U.S. core PCE and core CPI suggests a potential slowdown in inflationary pressures, which could have significant implications for the overall economic outlook. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Net Profit Margin The anticipated expansion in S&P 500 net profit margins over the upcoming quarters suggests a potentially favorable outlook for profitability. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
EPS Revisions In comparison to the rest of the S&P 500, the top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 index have seen positive EPS revisions over the past 12 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Performance – Large Cap vs. Small Cap The durability of the rotation from U.S. large caps to U.S. small caps remains to be seen as the market assesses the implications of changing inflation and rate expectations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Cumulative U.S. Equity Fund Flows from 1 Year Before to 1 Year After U.S. Presidential Elections Since 2004 Positive flows into U.S. equity funds could help support further gains in the S&P 500 after the upcoming U.S. presidential election. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Top 10 Stocks as % of S&P 500 In recent years, there has been a substantial rise in concentration among the top 10 companies in the S&P 500, which has raised concerns about potential risks to investors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Cap-Weighted S&P 500 vs. Equal-Weighted S&P 500 The S&P 500 equal-weighted index has a more attractive valuation and potential for broader profit growth, suggesting it could outperform the S&P 500 market-cap weighted index in the near future. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Contributions to Year-on-Year Headline CPI Inflation The shrinking contributions from shelter and private transportation services are expected to result in a slowdown of U.S. headline CPI inflation, reaching 2.8% by the end of 2024. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Dollar to Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Goldman Sachs has updated its projections for the USD/JPY exchange rate, anticipating the US dollar to reach 155 yen in three months, 155 yen in six months, and 150 yen in 12 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research