Search Results for: business

Is Residential Investment a Drag Since the Great Recession? Indeed, it is very low compared to other business cycles. And because housing is already in a slump relative to other economic cycles, it shouldn’t cause a recession. Image: Blackrock

Since 1990, No Recessions Without 4% Wage Growth Since the beginning of the Great Recession, wage growth has been slow in this business cycle. But keep in mind that since 1990, no recessions without 4% wage growth. So, a recession is probably not imminent. Image: Blackrock

Why Potential GDP Has Been Cut in Half Since the 1950’s? The main reason is a lower productivity than previous business cycles, due to: – lower population growth – the service sector is growing faster than the industry sector – lower quality jobs in the service sector have a lower productivity than in the industrial…

Ray Dalio, Founder and Chairman, Bridgewater Associates In this video at Stanford Graduate School of Business, Ray Dalio discusses his life and career, principles, relationship, conflicts with other nations, increasing wage gap in the U.S. and more. “Just generally as an entrepreneur, you have to think differently in order to be successful. There’s a high…

How’s the U.S. Economy Doing Now? The real GDP Nowcast relies on soft data such as consumer and business surveys and hard data such as retail sales and industrial production. It forecasts the growth of real GDP. At full employment, GDP returns to the level of potential GDP. If a recession were to occur today,…

Is Inflation Dead? Is this cover of Bloomberg Businessweek a contrarian indicator? Remember that dinosaurs evolved into birds over 50 million years. Do you think we will have to wait 50 million years for inflation to return? You may also like “How to Get Inflation?” and “Where Does Inflation Come From?“ Image: Bloomberg

Yield Curve Inversion A yield curve inversion is a necessary condition for a recession, but it is not a sufficient condition. We also need a widening of credit spreads and higher real interest rates. And currently, the long end of the yield curve has a normal upward slope. You may also like “Why the Current Business…

Aswath Damodaran – Laws of Valuation: Revealing the Myths and Misconceptions Aswath Damodaran is professor of corporate finance at the Stern School of Business at New York University, with his unique perspective about equity valuation. Here, he talks about the corporate life cycle, corporate finance, cash flow and the laws of valuation. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c20_S-QgvsA