Central Banks – Global Monetary Policy Stimulus Leads Global Manufacturing PMI As global monetary policy stimulus tends to lead global manufacturing PMI by 8 months, could this signal the end of the economic slowdown? Image: Topdown Charts
ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. ISM New Orders – Inventories The U.S. ISM New Orders less Inventories spread continues to suggest a higher ISM Manufacturing PMI. This correlation points towards a positive outlook for the manufacturing sector. Image: The Daily Shot
Sentiment – Global PMI and Risk Appetite Indicator The GS risk appetite indicator remaining elevated suggests that investors have a high appetite for risk in the financial markets. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Big 4 Asia Imports vs. ISM Manufacturing PMI The weak demand in Asian markets is affecting various industries and economies worldwide. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
PMI vs. Equity Risk Premium The divergence between the ISM PMI and the equity risk premium is significant. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Discretionary Investor Equity Positioning vs. S&P Global Composite PMI Discretionary investor equity positioning is not reacting to changes in the global composite PMI. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Rolling 12-Month EPS Surprise vs. ISM PMI Are markets too optimistic? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Global Manufacturing PMI and Global Consumer Discretionary vs. Staples The global consumer discretionary vs. staples relative performance suggests that the global manufacturing PMI could be trending towards expansion, which is good news. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) vs. Manufacturing PMI (U.S. Minus Global Ex-U.S.) Will the U.S. dollar continue to weaken? Image: BCA Research
S&P 500 Price Returns Based on U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI Levels The U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI between 45 and 50 is historically bullish for U.S. stocks over the next 12 months. Image: MarketDesk Research
Russell 2000 / S&P 500 vs. ISM Manufacturing PMI (Leading Indicator) The performance of U.S. small caps relative to the S&P 500 suggests a decline in the ISM Manufacturing PMI. Image: Morgan Stanley Research