U.S. Output Gap (% of Potential GDP)
U.S. Output Gap (% of Potential GDP) Will the Fed take action to prevent the U.S. economy from overheating? Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Output Gap (% of Potential GDP) Will the Fed take action to prevent the U.S. economy from overheating? Image: BofA Global Research
Gap Between S&P 500 Earnings Yield and U.S. Treasury Yield This chart suggests that the S&P 500 looks attractive relative to bonds, as the spread between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is 368bps. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Gap Between High and Low Valuation Stocks Today, the gap between high and low valuation stocks is the widest since the dotcom bubble. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Sensitivity of the 2020 S&P 500 Price Targets to the Yield Gap Goldman Sachs expects the yield gap to narrow by year-end 2020. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Output Gap as % of Potential GDP and U.S. Wage Growth (Leading Indicator) Chart suggesting that US output gap as % of potential GDP tends to lead US wage growth by one year. Image: Pictet Asset Management
U.S. Output Gap (% of potential GDP) and Inflation U.S. output gap (% of potential GDP) tends to lead underlying core PCE by 12 months. Image: Pictet Asset Management
U.S. Output Gap and Inflation This chart shows that actual U.S. GDP is higher than potential GDP. Historically, a positive output gap leads to inflation. Image: Richardson Wealth
Valuation Gap Between U.S. and Emerging Markets ex-China According to BofA, emerging markets ex-China benefit from favorable demographics, modernization potential, and attractive valuations for the long term. Image: BofA Global Research
Output Gap and Stages of the U.S. Business Cycle Despite gloomy headlines, this chart suggests that the U.S. economic expansion is still intact. Image: BlackRock Investment Institute
PCE Inflation vs. Output Gap (Leading Indicator) Positive output gap suggests higher core inflation next year. Image: NBF Economics and Strategy
U.S. Business Cycle: Output Gap vs. Core PCE Inflation The mature phase of the U.S. business cycle began 24 months ago. The mature phase lasted 72 months in the late 1960s and 57 months in the late 1990s. Image: NBF Economics and Strategy