Valuation – S&P 500 FY2 P/E Multiple – Five Largest Stocks vs. Other 495 Stocks S&P 500 valuations remain high, particularly FAAMG stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Bond Yields vs. S&P 500 Multiples This chart suggests that lower bond yields imply higher S&P 500 multiples. Image: Credit Suisse
S&P 500 Annual Return: Dividends, Earnings Growth and Multiple Expansion In 2019, the S&P 500 rose 31.5%. 26.9% came from multiple expansion, 2.6% from dividends, and 2.0% from earnings growth. Historically, S&P multiples contract or remain flat following years of big multiple expansion. Image: Richardson Wealth
S&P 500 Return: Earnings Growth vs. Multiple Expansion Multiple expansion explains the S&P 500’s impressive total return of 31.49% in 2019, despite muted earnings. Image: Strategas
MSCI ACWI and S&P 500 Forward P/E Multiple This year, the forward P/E multiple for global equities and for the S&P 500 increased by approximately 24%. Historically, multiples contract or remain flat following years of big multiple expansion. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Multiple Expansion – Year-Over-Year Change in the S&P 500 Forward P/E Since the beginning of the year, the multiple expansion explains the S&P 500 return. Historically, S&P multiples contract or remain flat following years of big multiple expansion. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch US Equity & US Quant Strategy
Russell 2000 Trailing EV/EBITDA Multiples vs. Private Equity EBITDA Multiples This chart shows that private equity multiples are currently higher than public equity multiples. Image: Strategas
U.S. Equities and The World: Earnings Growth vs. Multiple Expansion Since the 2009 low, the strong performance of the U.S. markets comes from earnings growth (73%) and multiple expansion (27%). You may also like “S&P 500 Return: Earnings Growth vs. Multiple Expansion.” Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal…
U.S. Federal Debt Growth and Gold Price While the increase in U.S. federal debt has traditionally correlated with higher gold prices, multiple other factors significantly influence gold’s market value. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 and Forward Earnings Estimates There is considerable hope for strong earnings growth over the next 12 months, but the realization of these expectations remains uncertain and influenced by multiple factors. Image: Real Investment Advice