Risk Appetite Indicator Level – Drawdowns and Up Moves Time to reduce risk? When the Risk Appetite Indicator (RAI) level is above 1, near-term returns tend to be lower on average, with larger drawdowns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance and Risk Appetite Indicator This chart suggests that the S&P 500 has historically recovered, after the Risk Appetite Indicator falls below -2. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
CS Global Risk Appetite Index The Credit Suisse Global Risk Appetite Index falls, but is not at panic level. Image: Credit Suisse
Fed Dovish Pivot – Stimulus Hopes Support Risk Appetite Growth sentiment appears to be stabilizing, due to optimism about fiscal policy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
FMS Investors – Net % Taking Higher than Normal Risk Levels In September, FMS risk appetite has significantly decreased, reaching a 11-month low. This decline reflects growing concerns among FMS investors regarding economic stability and market conditions. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
Sentiment – Global Risk Demand Index The Morgan Stanley Global Risk Demand Index indicates that investors’ risk appetite is very low, which can often be seen as a contrarian indicator, where extreme pessimism might signal a potential rebound in equity markets. Image: Morgan Stanley
S&P 500 and 12-Month Rate of Change in Margin Debt The rise in margin debt in June and July can be seen as a bullish signal for U.S. equities, indicating increased optimism and risk appetite among investors. Image: BofA Global Research Click the Image to Enlarge
Gold and FRB Broad Trade-Weighted Dollar Index According to BofA, the U.S. dollar debasement is a myth, as it rises and falls with global risk appetite, and has proven its safe haven status. Image: BofA
Performance for the Year: S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones Industrial Average U.S. stocks climbed, erasing 2020 losses, as easing lockdowns boosts risk appetite. Image: Financial Times
Flows into Global Equity Funds Flows into global equity funds have accelerated in recent weeks, reflecting a growing appetite for riskier investments. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research