Annual S&P 500 EPS Growth Through 2022
Annual S&P 500 EPS Growth Through 2022 Goldman Sachs expects S&P 500 earnings to contract by 21% this year, before rebounding by 30% in 2021 and 11% in 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Annual S&P 500 EPS Growth Through 2022 Goldman Sachs expects S&P 500 earnings to contract by 21% this year, before rebounding by 30% in 2021 and 11% in 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Total Return Attribution Multiple expansion explains the S&P 500’s total return YTD, despite negative earnings growth. Image: The Daily Shot
S&P 500 vs. S&P 500 Companies Withdrawing Guidance The coronavirus pandemic is affecting earnings guidance. The 170 companies in the S&P500 that have withdrawn forward earnings guidance are underperforming the S&P500 by 10.7% YTD. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 Index Total Return Drivers Historically, earnings growth drives equity returns over time. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Ratio of Mega-Cap Growth Stocks to the Rest of S&P 500 The rise in price of mega-cap growth stocks suggests that the earnings acceleration appears fully priced in. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Price Return vs. 2021 EPS Revisions This chart highlights the positive correlation between price return and 2021 earnings revisions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Year/Year EPS Growth Goldman Sachs maintains the 2020 S&P 500 EPS estimate of $110 and adjusts the quarterly path of earnings growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Average Performance by S&P 500 Quality Ranks when the Profits Cycle Decelerated Historically, high quality stocks (A+) have outperformed when the profits cycle decelerates, as investors tend to pay up for stable earnings growth. Image: BofA US Equity and Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Index and Total Return to Gold Ratio According to BofA, the gold to equity ratio is elevated given the earnings uncertainty, but it is far from historical highs. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Current P/E Valuation Based on 2021 EPS Scenarios Goldman Sachs baseline forecast for S&P 500 earnings in 2021 is $170, and the downside forecast is $115. Today, the S&P 500 trades at 19.5x the buy-side estimate of EPS. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 and Dividend Futures This chart suggests that the S&P 500 does appear to be trading off dividend forecasts more than earnings. Image: Morgan Stanley Research