S&P 500 Dividend Yield Since 1871 Since 1871, the long-term average dividend yield for the US stock market is 4.34%. The current yield of the S&P500 is 1.87% Is there an anomaly in the past 20 years? Image: multpl.com
The Short Interest in the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) to Lowest Since Late 2017 Is it a contrarian indicator? Only time will tell… The market is strong and historically, the 3rd year of a president’s term is positive (91% of the time since 1925). Source: Hedgopia
The S&P 500 Hits All-Time High Bulls make money and are happy again… Yes, but until when? Keep in mind that the US stock market is currently overvalued by 9%. Image: Hedgeye Risk Management LLC
Can History Help Us Predict the Future of the S&P 500? When the S&P 500 hits all-time high and AAII Investor Sentiment Survey bulls is below 35%, then 88% of the time the S&P 500 is positive one year later (1986-2019). Image: SentimenTrader
The S&P 500 Hits All-Time High, After 6 Months Without A Record High. So, What Now? Can history help us to predict the future? Here’s a bullish case: the S&P 500 has been higher 17 out of 18 times a year later, since 1954. Source: LPL Research
What Recession? The S&P 500 Hits All-Time High …but many of the world’s major indexes are still a long way from their all-time closing highs. Image: Bloomberg
Over The Last 6 Months, The S&P 500 Lags Bonds, Gold And Global Stocks Last year, the sell-off of stocks was a correction from a bad equity risk premium and an overvalued stock market, as suggested by our forecasting models. Image: Bloomberg
Six months ago, the S&P 500 was overvalued by more than 14%… Six months ago, the S&P 500 was overvalued by more than 14% before the market crash, through our advanced stock market valuation model. Near the same level today and within 1% of a record high, the US stock market remains slightly overvalued by 7.8%.…
Golden Cross Materializes in S&P 500 Price Action JPMorgan’s Philip Camporeale and David Kotok, CIO at Cumberland Advisors, discuss the late cycle euphoria. Rally in equities continues until it stops!
Buybacks – Share of S&P 1500 Companies Paying a Dividend or Repurchasing Stock Over the years, the share of S&P 1500 companies engaging in share repurchases has surged. In 1995, only 3% participated, while in 2023, it reached 70%, greatly enhancing shareholder returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research