Search Results for: ISM

Societe Generale’s Chart of Swan Risks This chart shows the downside and upside risks to the growth outlook. Biggest risks (black swan): protectionism/trade wars (25%), and European policy uncertainty (20%) Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research

150 Years of U.S. Employment History Since 1850 The chart shows the share of U.S. employment in each sector between 1850 and 2015. Image: Visual Capitalism

U.S. Stock Market Annualized Returns since 1872 You may notice as the timeframes get longer, the frequency of losses rapidly decreases. During 1872 to 2018, there were no 20-year rolling periods with stock market losses. Image: Visual Capitalism

Are We Near a Recession? “The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state’s coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply…

Watch Warren Buffett’s full interview with CNBC’s Becky Quick In this interview, Warren Buffett speaks about rail road, Berkshire Hathaway, economic slowdown, yield curve, recession, stock vs. bond, airlines & automotive industry, capitalism, inequality, benefits of free trade, IPOs, entertainment industry, Apple, American Express, Wells Fargo, real estate commission, philanthropy with 2% of GDP, odds,…

The Kiril Sokoloff Interviews: Stanley F. Druckenmiller Stanley F. Druckenmiller, founder of Duquesne Capital, speaks with Kiril Sokoloff about life, the current stock market, the FED, his investments, populism, globalization, China, algorithms, and how he would like to be remembered. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G-MlrpoMig0