Late-cycle Worries

Late-cycle Worries Consumers are currently more optimistic today than about the future. That’s worrying because consumer spending contributes 70% of total U.S. production. Image: Deutsche Bank

How Have Real Personal Consumption Expenditures Declined Ahead Of Every Recession?

How Have Real Personal Consumption Expenditures Declined Ahead Of Every Recession? Consumer spending drives the US economy. Historically, Real Personal Consumption Expenditures, which accounts for about 70% of GDP, decline before a recession. That’s not the case today. So, a recession may not be imminent in this late-cycle expansion.

Visualizing How Americans Spend Their Money

Visualizing How Americans Spend Their Money The Consumer Expenditure Survey is a Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) survey that collects information on the buying habits of U.S. consumers. Image: howmuch.net