Contributions to Year-on-Year U.S. Core PCE Inflation Goldman Sachs maintains its projection for a decrease in U.S. core PCE, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, which could have significant implications for the broader economy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Composite in Elections Years and Election Years When >10% Gains in Previous Year Given the Fed’s interest rate projections, market sentiment indicators and historical market behavior, investors may reasonably expect the S&P 500 index to reach new highs soon. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
S&P 500 and Pattern Breakouts The chart projection on the S&P 500 suggests 4300, given the summer’s breakout from a bullish cup-and-handle. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast J.P. Morgan expects the U.S. unemployment rate to rise to 20% next month. Image: J.P. Morgan
Contribution of Consumption to China’s GDP Growth This chart shows that consumption is the primary driver of China’s economic growth. You may also like “China Real GDP Growth Projection.” Image: ANZ Research
S&P 500 – Secular Roadmaps The chart shows the S&P 500 projection based on average secular bull and the CAPE model. Image: Fidelity Investments
The U.S. Unemployment Rate Is Historically Low But the FOMC projection suggests that the unemployment rate cannot improve indefinitely. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Why We Should Not Be Afraid By China’s Debt? In China, there is a high level of savings and controls on capital outflows. Currently, most of the Chinese savings are lent or invested in China. So, China’s debt reflects the Chinese savings rate. It would be much more worrying if China’s debt led to external debt,…