Wage Growth, Monetary Policy and S&P 500

Wage Growth, Monetary Policy and S&P 500 When the spread between wage growth and the Fed funds rate is wide, it is generally positive for equities. Image: Topdown Charts

World Semiconductor Sales Lead Emerging Markets

World Semiconductor Sales Lead Emerging Markets This chart suggests that world semiconductor sales lead the MSCI emerging markets index by 3 months. This is very interesting before investing in emerging market equities. Country weights of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index: 33% China, 13.02% Korea, 11.35% Taiwan. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

First Fed Rate Cut

First Fed Rate Cut History tells us that a first 25-bps rate cut is bullish, while a first 50-bps rate cut is bearish. You may also like “U.S. Equities – One Year Return After a Fed Rate Cut.” Image: Ari Wald

S&P 500 and Hedge Fund Exposure

S&P 500 and Hedge Fund Exposure While the S&P 500 is at all-time high, hedge funds increase their exposure to equities (last = 0.52). Image: Sentimentrader

Earnings Matter, Over the Long Run

Earnings Matter, Over the Long Run Over the long run, equities move with earnings. Currently, there is a big gap between U.S. and Europe earnings. As Warren Buffett said: “for 240 years, it’s been a terrible mistake to bet against America.” You may also like “Global Earnings since 2006.” Image: Cullen Roche

U.S. Equity Market Performance

U.S. Equity Market Performance since 1914 Excellent comparison between real (adjusted for inflation) and nominal returns on U.S. equities. Image: Saxo Bank

Equity Fund Flows at Record

Equity Fund Outflows at Record History tell us that equities rose significantly. Image: SunTrust IAG

MSCI Emerging Markets Index vs. World Semiconductor Sales

MSCI Emerging Markets Index vs. World Semiconductor Sales This great chart suggests that world semiconductor sales lead the MSCI emerging markets index by 3 months. Very interesting chart before investing in emerging market equities. Country weights of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index: 33% China, 13.02% Korea, 11.35% Taiwan. Image: Nordea and Macrobond