MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. and S&P 500 Index U.S. equities have significantly outperformed the rest of the world in recent years, but this has not always been the case. You may also like “Trailing 12-month Return Differential between U.S. and non-U.S. Stocks.” Image: ClearBridge Investments
Market Reaction to Fed Insurance Cuts vs. Fed Recession Cuts This chart shows the S&P 500 and 10-year Treasury Note response to Fed insurance cuts vs. Fed recession cuts. There is a big difference for equities, but not too much for bonds. Image: Pictet Wealth Management
US Fund Flows 2013-2019 (All Stocks, All Bonds, Mutal Funds and ETFs) Once again, it looks like investors see a recession on the horizon by selling equities and buying bonds. See “The Stock Market Continues to Climb the Wall of Worry” Image: Topdown Charts
Investor Movement Index vs. S&P 500 The Investor Movement Index indicates the sentiment of TD Ameritrade retail investors. Thus, retail investors are net buyers of equities when the stock market is expensive, and they are net sellers of equities when the stock market is cheap. As usual, retail investors react to equity price movements. They buy and sell…
Europe’s Stocks Are Really Unloved Europe’s benchmark has lagged other major ones in recent years. But on the positive side: the valuation is low, Europe will not disintegrate, the rotation from bonds to equities has not yet begun, and there is a fairly good growth in 2019. Image: Bloomberg
Why a Low or Negative Equity Risk Premium Coincides with a Temporary Market Peak? Because it pushes investors into bonds rather than equities. This was the case in 1973, 1981, 2000, 2007 and 2018 before the market crash. The current equity risk premium is available to our subscribers. Our equity risk premium model has a great 96% correlation with…
The Value vs. Growth Differential Has Never Been So Extreme The Value vs. Growth differential has never been so extreme, even during the Great Depression and the Dotcom bubble. Chasing growth usually ends badly! Image: Woodford Investment Management Ltd
Financial Advisor talks Recession, Alternative Investing and Retirement Peter Mallouk, president and founder of Creative Planning, discusses why he does not see an overvaluation of equities, why he is not fan of crypto, and why time is all-important when investing. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y0jEosfkkuI
Should Investors Trust Markets or Economic Data? Nancy Tengler, Butcher Joseph Chief Investment Strategist, and Brian Levitt, Oppenheimer senior investment strategist, discuss the economic data. They are mixed, but that’s good news. Equities are going higher and investors should have FOMO (Fear of Missing Out).
Golden Cross Materializes in S&P 500 Price Action JPMorgan’s Philip Camporeale and David Kotok, CIO at Cumberland Advisors, discuss the late cycle euphoria. Rally in equities continues until it stops!