Search Results for: M2

Gold as Monetary Inflation Hedge Is gold an inflation hedge? The market share of gold against M2 money supply tends to increase in periods of inflation. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Core Inflation Expected Over the Next 21 Months (Leading Indicator) M2 velocity year-over-year tends to lead U.S. core CPI by 21 months (R² = 0.52 since 1996).  It has been quite accurate for more than 20 years. Click the Image to Enlarge

U.S. Excess Liquidity Growth Leads S&P 500 Returns This chart suggests that M2 money supply to nominal GDP ratio leads S&P 500 returns by one year. Is the S&P 500 vulnerable to a drop, followed by a recovery? Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond

China – Equity Returns and Money Supply This chart shows the relationship between M2 money supply and China’s stock market since 2003. Image: Jeroen Blokland