Global Consumers (Housing and Retail) vs. Confidence (Soft Data) Chart showing the large divergence between global hard data and confidence (soft data). Confidence still refuses to rebound. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
U.S. Retail Sales and Food Services vs. Fair Value Model After disappointing U.S. retail sales in September, this chart provides a good forward guide for U.S. consumer spending. The Fair Value Model leads consumption and includes: ASA Staffing Index (temps), spread between good unemployment (job leavers) and bad unemployment (job losers), and forward-looking income expectations.…
U.S. Total Retail Sales Volumes Chart showing that U.S. retail sales remain solid. Image: Pantheon Macroeconomics
U.S. Retail Market Share by Category This chart shows how quickly online shopping is eating the traditional retail world. Image: Institute of International Finance
U.S. Retail Sales and Consumer Sentiment Currently, the consumer is doing well, keeping the U.S. economy from tanking, and consumer sentiment is high. Image: Credit Suisse
Amount of Retail Space per Person in the U.S. vs. Other Developed Nations America’s retail apocalypse has only just begun. Image: International Council of Shopping Centers
Cumulative Flows to Crytocurrency Funds In 2024, unprecedented inflows into cryptocurrency funds signal a shift in sentiment, as both retail and institutional investors increasingly embrace digital assets. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
AAII Investor Sentiment: % Bullish – % Bearish U.S. retail investors are feeling less optimistic. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Sentiment Indicator – Investor Equity Positions Retail investors have reduced positions and institutional investors are currently favoring cash. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Flows – Subsequent 4-Week S&P 500 Returns Retail investors continue to buy the dip despite the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which is bullish for U.S. stocks. Image: BofA Securities
Premium Spent on Buy-to-Open Single-Stock Option Transactions Retail options traders are back in droves. Image: BofA Global Research