FMS Investors – Net % Saying Recession Likely The outlook among FMS investors regarding the possibility of a global recession in the near future is characterized by a much greater sense of optimism. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
S&P 500 Performance After >25% Gain in 100 Trading Days An increase of 25% or more in the S&P 500 within 100 days (using the first signal in a cluster) suggests a positive outlook for the next 12 months, historically resulting in a median gain of 13.4% since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research
AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bearish Readings The AAII Bearish Sentiment continues to be below its historical average, suggesting that AAII investors hold an optimistic view of the short-term stock market outlook. Image: The Daily Shot
U.S. GDP Growth Forecast Goldman Sachs expresses confidence in the robustness of the U.S. economy, foreseeing a positive outlook for the growth of U.S. GDP. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After >25% Gain in 21 Weeks A 25% or more increase in the S&P 500 in 21 weeks (using the first signal in a cluster) suggests a bullish outlook over the next 12 months, with an average gain of 21.5% since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After 118 or More New 52-Week Highs 118 new 52-week highs for the S&P 500 (using first signal in 6 months) suggest a bullish outlook over the next 12 months, with an average gain of 12% since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research
Aggregated U.S. Equity Futures Positions While showing reduced bullishness, leveraged funds and asset managers maintain a positive market outlook by holding net long positions in U.S. equity futures. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 EPS vs. Trend Do consensus EPS estimates for 2024 and 2025 accurately reflect an optimistic outlook, or are they overly optimistic? Image: J.P. Morgan
S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth S&P 500 earnings revision breadth remains in negative territory, suggesting that there is still a cautious outlook for future earnings of S&P 500 companies. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 Net Long Futures Contracts Despite some profit-taking, asset managers and leveraged funds remain very net long S&P 500 futures, suggesting their positive outlook on the future performance of the U.S. stock market. Image: Deutsche Bank