Inverted yield curve doesn’t guarantee recession: Market strategist Tony Dwyer is Senior Managing Director, Macroeconomist and Chief Market Strategist at Canaccord Genuity. With CNBC’s Mike Santoli, he discusses the current stock market and what he thinks about the yield curve inversion.
‘There is an inevitable recession in the near term,’ says analyst Could S&P 500 fall 40% by the end of 2019? Octavio Costa, global macro analyst at Crescat Capital, discusses this possibility in regard to the yield curve inversion.
New York Fed Probability of Recession in Next 12 Months since 1990 When an inverted yield curve occurs, short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates. It suggests that the long-term economic outlookis poor and that the yields offered by long-term fixed income securities will continue to decline. Since 1962, no recession has occurred without an inverted…