Valuation – Forward 12-Month P/E Ratio for the S&P 500 Index When valuations remain high for an extended period, investors should be mindful of the potential for lower future returns. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 Price Target 33% of JPM clients have high expectations for the S&P 500 index, with the belief that it will reach 5250 by the end of the year 2024, indicating a notable level of optimism regarding the stock market’s future performance. Image: J.P. Morgan
Valuation – S&P 500 Price/Earnings Ratio The S&P 500 P/E multiple is expected to remain above the average level observed since 1990, indicating investors’ willingness to pay more for earnings, possibly due to optimism about future growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 vs. Its Seasonal Pattern While past performance does not guarantee future results, can the U.S. stock market continue to follow its seasonal pattern? Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth Earnings revisions breadth for both large and small caps has returned to negative territory, which means that the overall sentiment and expectations for future earnings have worsened. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Valuation – S&P 500 vs. U.S. Treasuries The current high valuation of U.S. stocks compared to Treasuries suggests that investors are willing to pay more for stocks, possibly indicating optimism about future performance. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Performance When Up YTD Between 10-20% At the End of September When the S&P 500 is up year-to-date between 10-20% at the end of September, the fourth quarter tends to be bullish. Historical trends are not a guarantee of future performance, but they can provide useful insights for investors and traders when making…
Correlation Between AAII Bull-Bear Spread and S&P 500 Returns The AAII bull-bear spread may not necessarily be a reliable predictor of future S&P 500 returns. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 EPS Revisions Sentiment S&P 500 earnings revision sentiment is currently pointing to a hard landing. Could the market experience a downturn in the near future? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Individual Investors Activity in Options – S&P 500 Options and Top 50 Options Options trading activity among individual investors remains elevated. Does it suggest a future market meltdown? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research