BB HY Monthly Total Returns
BB HY Monthly Total Returns U.S. BB rated high yield corporate bonds have dropped sharply in January. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
BB HY Monthly Total Returns U.S. BB rated high yield corporate bonds have dropped sharply in January. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Historical Default Rate and Recession Periods in the U.S. Default rates on high-yield corporate bonds have exceeded 10% over the past three recessions. Image: Altman-Kuehne and NBER
BBB Debt by Sector in the U.S. By sector in the U.S., financial institutions have the largest amount of ‘BBB’ debt: $744 billion. That’s 53% of investment-grade bonds in the United States. You may also like “The U.S. Corporate Bond Debt Rated ‘BBB’ Exceeds $3 trillion.” Image: S&P Global Fixed Income Research
S&P 500 Buybacks Relative to Index Market Capitalization A recovery in corporate earnings could lead to a rebound in buybacks this year. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Emerging Markets Exports Value and MSCI Emerging Markets 12m Trailing EPS Chart suggesting that EM corporate profits are linked to the global trade cycle. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Trade War and Financial Conditions Index The trade war has tightened the Goldman Sachs FCI by about 60bp cumulatively. The Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index (FCI) is a weighted sum of a long-term corporate yield, a short-term bond yield, the exchange rate, and a stock market variable. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research