U.S. Cyclicals/Defensives vs. ISM Manufacturing PMI

U.S. Cyclicals/Defensives vs. ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart showing the large divergence between U.S. cyclicals/defensives and the ISM Manufacturing PMI. Eventually, the gap should close soon. Image: Topdown Charts

S&P 500 Earnings Yield vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield

S&P 500 Earnings Yield vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield The gap between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is currently relatively high. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. and Eurozone Unemployment Rates

U.S. and Eurozone Unemployment Rates This chart shows the gap between the unemployment rates of the two economies, while unemployment falls to historic lows. Image: Financial Times

Equity Market Driven by Bonds Not Profits

Equity Market Driven by Bonds Not Profits The chart shows a widening gap between cyclicals and bond proxies. It is clearly a cyclical bear market within a bull market, as during the dotcom bubble. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research

Homeownership Disparity Deepens

Homeownership Disparity Deepens Since 1994, the gap between blacks and whites has widened, in part because starter-home prices have exploded, year after year. Inequality: you may also like “U.S. Unemployment Rate: Black or African Americans” and  “U.S. Net Worth by Wealth Bracket” and “Countries With the Highest Housing Bubble Risks.” Picture Source: Bloomberg

Earnings Matter, Over the Long Run

Earnings Matter, Over the Long Run Over the long run, equities move with earnings. Currently, there is a big gap between U.S. and Europe earnings. As Warren Buffett said: “for 240 years, it’s been a terrible mistake to bet against America.” You may also like “Global Earnings since 2006.” Image: Cullen Roche

Concern about the Trade War

Concern about the Trade War 58% of American firms reported negative impacts from the trade war, versus 31% of non-American firms. Ouch! Image: American Chamber of Commerce in Singapore

Growth Has Outperformed Value Since 2015

Growth Has Outperformed Value Since 2015 Is is time for value stocks to shine? Actually, tech stocks contribute to widening the gap between growth and value. Image: Wells Fargo Investment Institute

S&P 500 Dividend Yield vs. 10-Year Treasury Yield since 2009

S&P 500 Dividend Yield vs. 10-Year Treasury Yield since 2009 This chart shows the gap between S&P 500 dividend yield and the 10-year Treasury yield since 2009. Keep in mind that investing is not just a competition between stocks and bonds. But for the first time since 2017, the dividend yield on US stocks is equal…

National Debt of the United States from 1934 to 2019

National Debt of the United States from 1934 to 2019 $22 trillion national debt number is huge. As a comparison, that’s more than the GDP of New Zealand, Singapore and Norway combined. Image: howmuch.net