Is Trump Right to Criticize Powell? We don’t think so, because: – Interest rates are still near zero in real terms and below real GDP – The rise in Fed rates has very few visible negative effects in the USA – And at full employment, GDP returns to the level of potential GDP
Is Inflation Dead? Is this cover of Bloomberg Businessweek a contrarian indicator? Remember that dinosaurs evolved into birds over 50 million years. Do you think we will have to wait 50 million years for inflation to return? You may also like “How to Get Inflation?” and “Where Does Inflation Come From?“ Image: Bloomberg
The Average American Investor Still Underperforms the Market Over the Long Term This is usually due to emotional biases, herding effect, lack of diversification, panic selling,… Most investors buy high and sell low at the wrong time. That’s the reason why using our formidable decision support tools will empower yourself to make much better investment…
Why Warren Buffett says that stocks are generally better than bonds? Our equity risk premium model shows when the US stock market return for the next 10 years is more or less attractive than the 10-Year Treasury Note. Since 1970, the 10-year Treasury Note was less attractive than the US stock market over a 10-year…
Distinguished Speaker Series: Howard Marks, CFA Legendary investor Howard Marks speaks about risk and return, cycles,… and how should we invest in a low-return world. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q3OlVuGfhUQ
Vanguard Founder Jack Bogle’s Market Forecast Vanguard Founder Jack Bogle has done more for the average investor than any person in the financial industry. By the end of 2018, he tells us why he thinks returns will be lower in the coming years. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5fX0CdESMk
This powerful indicator looks into the US stock market and suggests whether it is bullish, bearish or neutral Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the US stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that…
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-long-term-forecast.mp4 This great long-term forecast model displays the annual and total return expected for the next 10 years with a high degree of confidence This advanced model makes a forecast for the next 12 months, next 3 years, next 5 years, and next 10 years, with dividends reinvested. For each period, it displays the annual…
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-equity-risk-premium.mp4 This fabulous model shows if the US stock market return for the next 10 years is more or less attractive than the 10-Year Treasury Note The US stock market equity risk premium is the US stock market excess return for the next 10 years over the US 10-year Treasury Note. This is the premium…
PREMIUM MEMBERSHIP – Click the Images to Enlarge Video tutorials are available by clicking on this link: “FORECASTING MODELS” located in the menu bar at the top of each page. Our daily Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator is available in the Pro Membership. Upgrade your Premium Membership to a Pro Membership Now! The period of…
PRO MEMBERSHIP – Click the Images to Enlarge Video tutorials are available by clicking on this link: “FORECASTING MODELS” located in the menu bar at the top of each page.