Search Results for: DM

S&P 500 Revenues The growth in S&P 500 corporate revenues is aligning with historical averages, demonstrating resilience and stability in the current economic climate. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Domiciled Mutual Funds While U.S. money market holdings remain historically low, equity allocations are high, reflecting a significant shift in investor behavior towards riskier assets in pursuit of higher returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Inflation – U.S. Core PCE The GS Core Inflation Tracker currently remains below the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%, which is a crucial component of its monetary policy aimed at ensuring price stability and anchoring inflation expectations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Fed Rate Cuts Goldman Sachs forecasts a series of 25bp interest rate cuts through mid-2025, aimed at supporting economic growth amid fluctuating inflation rates. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Unemployment Rate Goldman Sachs forecasts a series of interest rate cuts through mid-2025 while maintaining a steady unemployment rate due to ongoing job growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Volatility – U.S. Options Expiration The expiration of $4.5tn in options notional could trigger increased market volatility and price movements, driven by heightened trading activity, changes in trader sentiment, and the mechanics in option exercise and settlement. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve and Recessions When a recession is avoided, an un-inversion in the 2s10s U.S. Treasury yield curve may suggest a favorable outlook for U.S. stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Drawdowns While bear markets and corrections have historically been common, their occurrence has diminished since the 1990s, suggesting a shift in market behavior that investors should consider in their strategies. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Median Index Returns Following First Fed Rate Cut Historically, midcaps have outperformed the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000 in the three and twelve months following the initial Federal Reserve rate cut. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Seasonality Election Day often marks a turning point for the S&P 500, with the index typically rallying as policy uncertainties are resolved. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research