U.S. Money Market Fund Assets and Fed Funds Rate The current environment suggests that a substantial amount of capital is poised to flow back into equity markets, driven by expectations of favorable economic conditions and monetary policy adjustments. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Median Monthly Flow into Equity Mutual Funds and ETFs as a % of Total AUM November historically marks a period of increased investor activity in equity markets, often leading to substantial inflows. Could the S&P 500 hit 6,000 by year-end? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
GWIM Equity Allocation as % Assets Under Management BofA’s private clients show optimism about equity market growth and potential returns, as evidenced by their 63% portfolio allocation to equities. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Sector Composition of the S&P 500 by Equity Capitalization The market capitalization of sectors within the S&P 500 reflects the market’s changing landscape, driven by economic conditions and investor sentiment, leading to fluctuations in sector performance over time. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Equity Fund Flows Over the last few months, robust inflows into equity funds have been typical of market upcycles, reflecting a broader trend of investor optimism and confidence. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Implied Equity Allocation by Non-Bank Investors Globally Despite concerns about potential economic slowdowns, investors are currently maintaining an overweight position in global equities, suggesting a positive outlook for stock markets. Image: J.P. Morgan
Hedge Fund and Mutual Fund Equity Exposure Mutual funds have notably increased equity allocations since 2023, reflecting a growing confidence in the stock market’s long-term potential despite ongoing volatility. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Active Global Equity Fund Flows and % MSCI ACWI Members Trading Above 200-DMA Flows to active global equity funds correlate strongly with stock price dispersion. Higher dispersion creates more opportunities for active managers, especially in volatile markets, boosting investor interest and inflows. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Cumulative Passive and Active Equity Flows While active equity funds have faced significant challenges, passive equity flows have shown resilience, remaining positive despite market fluctuations. Image: BofA Global Research
List of Signals to Watch for a Market Peak As of now, 50% of the 10 indicators for market peaks have been triggered, compared to an average of 70% during previous market peaks. This implies that the U.S. market may still be on the rise and has not yet peaked. Image: BofA US Equity &…
U.S. Household Equity Allocation Despite the overall strength of the U.S. economy and markets, historical trends suggest that elevated U.S. household equity exposure tends to precede lower future equity returns. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee