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Consolidated Equity Positioning Equities positioning are at their highest level in two years, as optimistic investors price in a global growth rebound. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

AAII Bullish Sentiment 2009-2020 Optimism among individual investors is now the highest since October 2018. Image: Bespoke Investment Group

Valuation Expansion: Year-Over-Year Change in S&P 500 Forward P/E This chart suggests that investors shouldn’t expect valuation expansion this year. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

U.S. AAII Sentiment Survey and S&P 500 This chart shows that market sentiment is important to contrarian investors. Image: Pictet Asset Management

BofA’s Fund Manager Survey Global Equity Allocation FMS investors allocation to global equities is still below 50% level, consistent with prior market tops. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

What is the Probability that the U.S. Enters an Economic Recession over the Next 12 Months? The latest edition of BofA’s US credit investor survey shows that recession fears have dropped to 16.3%. Image: BofA US Credit Investor Survey

U.S. Equity Indices Futures The U.S. stock market is on fire. Investors have grown extremely bullish. Image: BCA Research

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Short Interest Investors are excessively bullish. Short interest on the largest S&P 500 ETF is at the lowest in two years. Image: Bloomberg

10Y-2Y Yield Curve and U.S. Recession The U.S. yield curve is steepening and suggests optimism for 2020, as investors become more confident in the U.S. economy. Image: Financial Times

Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet and “Not QE” Welcome to “Not-QE”. The Fed’s balance sheet is expanding at fastest rate since the Great Financial Crisis. Image: US Global Investors